Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.173583 0.195307 0.218100 0.243742 0.271731 0.301298 0.334838
2025-03-16 0.143329 0.172517 0.204742 0.242773 0.286230 0.334141 0.390752
2025-03-23 0.125263 0.159770 0.199553 0.248401 0.306334 0.372411 0.453014
2025-03-30 0.108397 0.145924 0.190945 0.248238 0.318460 0.400957 0.504372
2025-04-06 0.094791 0.134206 0.183262 0.247749 0.329144 0.427283 0.553253
2025-04-13 0.083491 0.123993 0.176169 0.246841 0.338456 0.451519 0.599719
2025-04-20 0.075625 0.117346 0.172803 0.249961 0.352367 0.481341 0.653486
2025-04-27 0.070208 0.113398 0.172461 0.256626 0.370679 0.516893 0.715133
2025-05-04 0.063702 0.107190 0.168395 0.257725 0.381291 0.542474 0.764360
2025-05-11 0.059565 0.104000 0.168165 0.263814 0.398519 0.576893 0.825674
2025-05-18 0.055959 0.101228 0.168214 0.270073 0.415945 0.611809 0.888283
2025-05-25 0.050646 0.095268 0.163086 0.268451 0.422073 0.631412 0.930675
2025-06-01 0.046225 0.090433 0.159437 0.268939 0.431405 0.655979 0.980952
2025-06-08 0.041820 0.085188 0.154742 0.267496 0.437727 0.676384 1.025891
2025-06-15 0.039444 0.083168 0.154928 0.273356 0.454761 0.712063 1.092590
2025-06-22 0.036042 0.078998 0.151324 0.273059 0.462502 0.734622 1.141344
2025-06-29 0.032923 0.075016 0.147715 0.272466 0.469612 0.756278 1.189117
2025-07-06 0.030035 0.071162 0.144019 0.271452 0.475891 0.776711 1.235410
2025-07-13 0.028131 0.069012 0.143075 0.274796 0.488896 0.807170 1.296592
2025-07-20 0.026973 0.068228 0.144445 0.281971 0.508028 0.847030 1.372079
2025-07-27 0.025018 0.065612 0.142348 0.283150 0.517608 0.872755 1.427333
2025-08-03 0.023962 0.064776 0.143411 0.289708 0.535914 0.911914 1.502972
2025-08-10 0.022996 0.064034 0.144582 0.296449 0.554638 0.952026 1.580665